Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.