Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.