Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.