Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.