Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.