Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match.