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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
40.11% (![]() | 27.13% (![]() | 32.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% (![]() | 55.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% (![]() | 76.49% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% (![]() | 26.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% (![]() | 62.34% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% (![]() | 31.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% (![]() | 67.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.12% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |