League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 0
Colchester

Evans (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 2-1 Saints U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
52.94% ( -0)	26.19%	20.86% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.87% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.21% (

58.78% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.7% (

79.3% (

-0)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66%

22.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17%

55.83%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.5% (

43.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.29% (

79.71% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newport County 52.93%

Colchester United 20.86%

Draw 26.19%

Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.93%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.05% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.86%