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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
1 - 0
Colchester

Shade (64')
Gladwin (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marshall-Miranda (37'), Tchamadeu (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Colchester (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Colchester United

 Colchester have looked much better on two fronts since the arrival of their new manager, and a first win under Matt Bloomfield in the league last week will have done wonders for their confidence. Swindon will go into the game as favourites but may not know what to expect from a side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
56.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.14%19.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.002999999999993 0)53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.98%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.66%
    Colchester United 19.2%
    Draw 24.13%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36%
4-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Colchester

Conroy (9')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
0-3
Colchester

Baudry (24'), Iandolo (70')
Eastman (45'), Robinson (55', 75')
Wiredu (18')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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