League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Grimsby Town1 - 2Swindon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Swindon Town
So far Grimsby Town have been unable to win a single league match at home, but equally, they have not been beaten yet either. While both teams will be hoping to take three points to push into a playoff position, they could end up cancelling each other out instead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
29.7% ( -0.39) | 27.76% ( 0.54) | 42.54% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
