EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby3 - 1Grimsby Town
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Grimsby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 6 | -1 | 10 |
Last Game: Walsall 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sutton United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Tranmere Rovers | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
41.73% ( 1.5) | 25.48% ( 0.71) | 32.8% ( -2.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -3.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
