EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Sibley (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fellows (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Derby
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Bolton Wanderers	5	2	8
8	Derby County	5	1	8
9	Exeter City	5	4	7

West Bromwich Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 5-2 Hull City
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rotherham United	4	4	6
14	West Bromwich Albion	5	2	6
15	Wigan Athletic	4	1	6

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Both managers will make changes from their respective league matches at the weekend, but there will still be plenty of quality on display from both sides. Derby are certainly capable of matching West Brom, but we believe that the away side will just have enough to secure a narrow win on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
31.81%	26.49% ( -0)	41.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47%	52.99% ( -0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41%

74.59%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.27%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

25.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2%

59.8%

Score Analysis

Derby County 31.81%

West Bromwich Albion 41.7%

Draw 26.48%

Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.81%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.7%