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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Derby County |
56.1% | 22.49% | 21.41% |
Both teams to score 55.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% | 43.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% | 15.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.78% | 44.23% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% | 34.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.95% | 71.05% |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.1% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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