Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
41.09% | 24.64% | 34.26% |
Both teams to score 58.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% | 66.72% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% | 21.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.28% | 54.72% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% | 25.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% | 59.92% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |