Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Jun 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
1 - 0
West Brom

Watkins (16')
Norgaard (45+3'), Marcondes (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sawyers (55')

Thomas Frank admits "big dreams" after Bees slay Baggies

Brentford downed the table-topping West Bromwich Albion 1-0.

Jun 27, 00:49

The Match

Match Report

The Baggies remain top but the Bees are now just five points behind them and Leeds.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday night's Championship top-four clash between Brentford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brentford in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
40.15%	26.58%	33.26%

Both teams to score 51.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99%

53.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39%

74.61%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07%

60.93%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99%

30.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87%

66.13%

Score Analysis

Brentford 40.15%

West Bromwich Albion 33.26%

Draw 26.58%

Brentford	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.26%