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League One
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League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Barnsley

Derby
2 - 1
Barnsley

McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Barnsley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Barnsley

Last Six:
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
51.89% (1.881 1.88) 25.05% (-0.227 -0.23) 23.06% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-1.071 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.535 -0.53)52.57% (0.536 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.461 -0.46)74.23% (0.46199999999999 0.46)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (0.56699999999999 0.57)20.25% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (0.899 0.9)52.59% (-0.898 -0.9)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (-1.8 -1.8)37.74% (1.8 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-1.796 -1.8)74.52% (1.797 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 51.88%
    Barnsley 23.06%
    Draw 25.04%
Derby CountyDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.532 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.18 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
Barnsley
0-0
Derby

Woodrow (9'), Dike (87')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Derby
0-2
Barnsley

Byrne (45'), Jozwiak (53'), Sibley (90')
Chaplin (30'), Adeboyejo (83')
Andersen (59'), Sollbauer (61')
Jan 2, 2020 7.45pm
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
Marriott (45'), Waghorn (57')
Holmes (77')
Simoes (50')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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