Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell
Barnsley2 - 1Derby
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
| 42.55% | 29.38% | 28.08% |
| Both teams to score 42.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% | 64.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% | 83.47% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% | 30.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.82% | 66.17% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.08% | 39.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.42% | 76.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 42.54%
Derby County 28.07%
Draw 29.37%
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.07% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby
Barnsley
32.0%Draw
18.6%Derby County
49.5%97
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
Jan 2, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2019 7.45pm
