Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Derby2 - 2Luton
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Luton Town |
| 30.81% | 28.8% | 40.39% |
| Both teams to score 44.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% | 61.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% | 81.54% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% | 36.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.95% | 73.05% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.94% | 66.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 30.8%
Luton Town 40.38%
Draw 28.8%
| Derby County | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.8% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.38% |
How you voted: Derby vs Luton
Derby County
35.3%Draw
30.6%Luton Town
34.1%85
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Apr 20, 2007 3pm
Derby
1-0
Luton
Nyatanga (37')
