The Match
Match Report
Lee Gregory's early opener and Graeme Shinnie's second-half penalty settled the clash.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Luton Town |
| 36.5% | 29.89% | 33.6% |
| Both teams to score 42.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
