Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 0Derby
The Match
Match Report
The Rams are without a win since February 23 and sit just five points above the bottom three.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Derby County |
| 40.15% | 29.1% | 30.74% |
| Both teams to score 43.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% | 62.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.72% | 82.28% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.65% |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 40.14%
Derby County 30.74%
Draw 29.1%
| Stoke City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 0.93% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.74% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Derby
Stoke City
49.0%Draw
41.2%Derby County
9.8%51
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
