Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.