Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.