Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brentford in this match.