Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.