Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.