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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
34.6% | 27.25% | 38.15% |
Both teams to score 50% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% | 76.65% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% | 30.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% | 66.55% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% | 63.89% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |