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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
4 - 0
Luton

Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Early goals from captain Sean Morrison and young striker Mark Harris put Cardiff on course for just their second win in nine matches.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
43.56%28.68%27.76%
Both teams to score 43.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.65%62.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01%81.99%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98%39.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26%75.74%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.55%
    Luton Town 27.76%
    Draw 28.67%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.77%
2-1 @ 8.25%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.76%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
34.8%
Draw
28.8%
Luton Town
36.4%
66
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff
2-1
Luton
Flint (52'), Vassell (96')
Murphy (21'), Paterson (45')
Pearson (86')
Collins (61'), Potts (95')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-0
Cardiff
Bell (34'), Davis (43'), Barnett (53'), Feeney (90')
Bell (72')
Thompson (53')
Sep 16, 2006 3pm
Cardiff
4-1
Luton
Parry (30'), Purse (10' pen.), Chopra (58', 77')
Purse (13')
Vine (45')
Vine (17'), Edwards (44'), Barnett (88')
Emanuel (9')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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