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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
4 - 0
Luton

Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Early goals from captain Sean Morrison and young striker Mark Harris put Cardiff on course for just their second win in nine matches.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
43.56%28.68%27.76%
Both teams to score 43.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.65%62.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01%81.99%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98%39.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26%75.74%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.55%
    Luton Town 27.76%
    Draw 28.67%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.77%
2-1 @ 8.25%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.76%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
34.8%
Draw
28.8%
Luton Town
36.4%
66
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff
2-1
Luton
Flint (52'), Vassell (96')
Murphy (21'), Paterson (45')
Pearson (86')
Collins (61'), Potts (95')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-0
Cardiff
Bell (34'), Davis (43'), Barnett (53'), Feeney (90')
Bell (72')
Thompson (53')
Sep 16, 2006 3pm
Cardiff
4-1
Luton
Parry (30'), Purse (10' pen.), Chopra (58', 77')
Purse (13')
Vine (45')
Vine (17'), Edwards (44'), Barnett (88')
Emanuel (9')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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