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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.94% | 27.66% | 35.4% |
Both teams to score 48.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% | 56.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% | 77.88% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% | 29.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% | 65.7% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% | 30.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% | 66.84% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |