Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.