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Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Middlesbrough - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City welcome Middlesbrough to the Bet365 stadium on Saturday as they go in pursuit of back-to-back wins having edged out Wycombe Wanderers in midweek.

Duncan Watmore was at the double on Wednesday night as Middlesbrough secured a 2-1 win over a strong Swansea City at the Riverside, leaving them four points off the Championship's summit.

A win for Boro will see them leapfrog Stoke in what is becoming an increasingly tight top half, with only eight points separating the 12 sides.


Match preview

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in October 2020© Reuters

A Nick Powell header was enough for Stoke to take away all three points in midweek as they overcame a blunt Wycombe Wanderers side, struggling at the bottom of the Championship.

The win leaves the Potters eighth in the table and they will be keen to kick-on in the hope of mounting a robust promotion challenge.

A win on Saturday will require Stoke to put to bed a poor recent record against Boro, though.

City have lost their last three league matches against Middlesbrough, their worst such losing run against them since a run of three between 1938 and 1946.

The Bet365 has seen many a goal so far this season with 26 flying in at either end - more than any other ground in the competition.

Boro boss Neil Warnock on September 11, 2020© Reuters

Former Sunderland man Watmore only signed for Boro three weeks ago but has seemingly made a strong first impression on Neil Warnock judging by the glowing comments that followed the home win against Swansea.

His first goals for the club were enough to see off the Swans, with Boro now sitting top of the home form table with 17 points from their eight games at the Riverside.

Boro's stern defence has been their standout strength so far this campaign, and they will be keen to banish any memory of the three goals they conceded in their last away league game against Huddersfield Town - as many as they had shipped in their first six on the road in the Championship this season.

Boro boss Warnock turned 72 this week and though the win against Swansea would have been an appropriate birthday present, a win at Stoke really would be the icing on the cake.

Warnock has won his last three away league matches against Stoke, having won none of his first five there between 1997 and 2006. Boro are also looking to win consecutive away league matches against Stoke for the first time since March 1956.

Stoke City Championship form: LWWLDW

Middlesbrough Championship form: DDLWLW


Team News

Stoke City players celebrate Steven Fletcher's goal against Watford on November 4, 2020© Reuters

O'Neill will be hoping that Ryan Shawcross will be ready to feature having come through numerous Under-23 fixtures unscathed, but will likely be without Steven Fletcher and Lee Gregory, while John Obi Mikel is a major doubt.

Youngster Nathan Collins could be at right-back for a while, not just for Christmas, Michael O'Neill has hinted.

Warnock will again be without recent signing Grant Hall as he experienced a setback to his recovery earlier in the week.

Otherwise, Warnock now has a full squad to choose from, given Sam Morsy's return to action.

Britt Assombalonga and George Saville could return to the starting lineup after being rested in midweek.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bursik; Collins, Chester, Batth, Fox; Cousins, Clucas; Campbell, Powell, Brown; Vokes

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Bettinelli; Dijksteel, McNair, Fry, Bola; Tavernier, Howson, Saville; Watmore, Akpom, Johnson


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 0-1 Middlesbrough

Two strong sides face-off on Saturday, and there is not a lot to separate the two on paper. Lots of goals have been scored at the Bet365 so far this season, but Boro are a tough nut to crack and we see them coming away with the spoils - beating a fellow promotion rival for the second time in four days.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
44.3%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
24.5%
106
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Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock pictured on November 7, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
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24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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