Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.