The Match
Match Report
The Birmingham goalkeeper should also have done better with Lewis Wing's late strike.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 29.15% | 28.69% | 42.15% |
| Both teams to score 44.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.12% | 61.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% | 81.64% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% | 37.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.59% | 74.4% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% | 29.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.08% | 64.91% |
| Score Analysis |
Birmingham City 29.15%
Middlesbrough 42.14%
Draw 28.68%
| Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.71% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.07% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.14% |
How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
32.6%Draw
32.6%Middlesbrough
34.9%43
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
2-1
Middlesbrough
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Birmingham
1-2
Middlesbrough
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Form Guide
