MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 21:03:06| >> :60:417:417:
Switzerland national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Kybunpark
Luxembourg national football team

Switzerland
3 - 1
Luxembourg

Vargas (9'), Embolo (12' pen.), Muheim (29')
Amenda (87'), Comert (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sinani (89' pen.)
Sinani (63'), Olesen (89'), da Graca (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Switzerland and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Switzerland 2-1 Luxembourg

Luxembourg were excellent against Sweden on Saturday, and the visitors will therefore enter this match full of confidence; Switzerland are due a win, though, and we are expecting the home team to navigate their way to a narrow success on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawLuxembourg
74.99% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 16.01% (0.023999999999999 0.02) 9% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)40.5% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)62.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)9.19% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.86% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.13% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.13% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (0.016 0.02)84.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 74.97%
    Luxembourg 9%
    Draw 16.01%
SwitzerlandDrawLuxembourg
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 6.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 74.97%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.01%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9%

How you voted: Switzerland vs Luxembourg

Switzerland
Draw
Luxembourg
Switzerland
87.0%
Draw
0.0%
Luxembourg
13.0%
23
rhs 2.0
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