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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
20.84% | 27% | 52.17% |
Both teams to score 41.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.56% | 61.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.68% | 81.32% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.91% | 45.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19% | 81.01% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 58% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 0.93% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.84% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 15.4% 0-2 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |