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Championship | Gameweek 43
Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Brentford logo

Derby
1 - 3
Brentford

Knight (29')
Knight (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (3'), Benrahma (49', 64')

The Match

Match Report

Said Benrahma scored twice for Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBrentford
25.06%24.01%50.93%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48%46.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2%68.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34%32.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79%69.2%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 25.06%
    Brentford 50.92%
    Draw 24.01%
Derby CountyDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 3.74%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.92%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Brentford
3-0
Derby
Mbeumo (17'), Watkins (18', 45')

Waghorn (45'), Lawrence (84')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Brentford
3-3
Derby
Jeanvier (23'), Maupay (31'), Benrahma (83')
Dalsgaard (15'), Henry (50'), Canos (92')
Wilson (13', 78'), Bogle (26')
Bogle (19'), Johnson (22'), Cole (49'), Lawrence (69'), Tomori (92')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-1
Brentford
Wilson (14'), Nugent (21'), Mount (28')
Bryson (64'), Mount (80')
Dalsgaard (1')
Mepham (27')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Derby
3-0
Brentford
Huddlestone (31'), Jerome (34'), Vydra (90' pen.)
Jerome (63'), Olsson (90')

Woods (37'), Bjelland (71')
Canos (21')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Brentford
1-1
Derby
Watkins (86')
Woods (30'), Dalsgaard (36'), Watkins (45')
Ledley (15')
Forsyth (25'), Wisdom (30'), Johnson (30'), Winnall (37'), Keogh (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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