Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.