We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Crawley Town
Still licking their wounds from their cup exit, Cambridge United will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and put their first league win on the board.
While the Red Devils have enjoyed a solid start to the season, they have lost each of their last five visits to Abbey Stadium and we see them struggling once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.