MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 23:32:26| >> :600:440566:440566:
Crawley Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Swindon Town

Crawley
4 - 2
Swindon

Adeyemo (34'), Roles (56', 88'), R (89')
Khaleel (70'), Roles (78'), Flint (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ofoborh (60'), Smith (66')
Smith (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 37.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
38.87% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.97% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.77% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)36.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 38.87%
    Swindon Town 37.97%
    Draw 23.15%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 37.97%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Orsi (9', 53'), Roles (26')
Kemp (90+2')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
6-0
Crawley
Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')

Williams (88')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
2-1
Crawley
Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Telford (62' pen.)
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!