League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
3 - 3
Morecambe

Austin (5', 35'), Kokolo (74')
McCarthy (46')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Adams (15'), Fairclough (21'), Smith (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Forest Green
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Morecambe

It has been a disappointing campaign for both teams, with each likely looking forward to the season drawing to a close this weekend. With that in mind, it would not be a surprise to see them battle it out to a draw, particularly due to the poor form Swindon and Morecambe have coming into this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Morecambe
53.38% ( 0.03)	21.89% ( 0)	24.72% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.98% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.84% (

-0.05)

37.15% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.64% (

-0.05)

59.36% (

0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96% (

-0.01)

14.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.4% (

-0.01)

41.6% (

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.05)

27.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.07)

63.5% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 53.38%

Morecambe 24.72%

Draw 21.89%

Swindon Town	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.38%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 24.72%