League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Drinan (51'), Devoy (71', 84')
Godwin-Malife (60'), Devoy (90+7')
Godwin-Malife (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewis (2', 87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Swindon
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
45.83% ( 0)	24.37% ( 0)	29.8% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.68% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.22% (

-0.01)

44.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86% (

-0.01)

67.14% (

0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0)

19.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

-0)

51.65% (

0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

-0.01)

28.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

-0.01)

63.91% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 45.83%

AFC Wimbledon 29.8%

Draw 24.36%

Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.83%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.8%