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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 1
Swindon

Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
40.49%27.82%31.69%
Both teams to score 47.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.89%58.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.77%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.8%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66%70.34%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.49%
    Swindon Town 31.68%
    Draw 27.81%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Swindon
Robinson (30'), Parrett (62'), Bulman (68'), Charles (91')
Kasim (32'), Thomas (69'), Thompson (79'), Vigouroux (89')
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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