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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
40.49% | 27.82% | 31.69% |
Both teams to score 47.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.89% | 58.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% | 78.77% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% | 28.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% | 63.8% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% | 33.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% | 70.34% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |