MX23RW : Monday, November 25 17:08:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Henderson (67')
Rus (41'), Devlin (65'), Dempsey (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ritchie-Hosler (28'), Clay (36'), Comrie (62'), Otoo (70')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
50.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.79% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 24.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.064999999999998 0.06)49.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.057000000000002 0.06)71.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)51.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.66% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.032999999999998 0.03)71.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 50.32%
    Dunfermline Athletic 24.88%
    Draw 24.78%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.88%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dunfermline
1-1
Ayr
Otoo (15')
Comrie (21'), Wighton (90+1')
Watret (22')
Dempsey (24'), McAllister (35'), Walker (70')
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Ayr
3-3
Dunfermline
McKenzie (21'), McRoberts (68'), Dowds (73')
Sanders (70')
Kane (35', 42'), Edwards (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dunfermline
2-0
Ayr
Hamilton (42'), Kane (45+1')
Welch-Hayes (74')

Musonda (57')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Ayr
2-2
Dunfermline
McGeady (41'), Musonda (63')
Ahui (90')
Jakubiak (3', 9')
Wighton (62'), Edwards (86')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Chalmers (10')
Ahui (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk1511222891935
2Livingston148511910929
3Ayr UnitedAyr158432314928
4Partick ThistlePartick14653179823
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park156451616022
6Raith Rovers144371318-515
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton144371925-615
8Greenock MortonMorton143561119-814
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline153391116-512
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians141211627-215


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