Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.