MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 17:49:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Hamilton logo

Ayr
3 - 2
Hamilton

Murphy (8'), Rus (52'), Oakley (66')
Dempsey (37'), Musonda (47'), Rus (85'), Alin Rus (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Shaw (27'), Barjonas (38')
Hendrie (48'), Williamson (69'), (69'), Kilday (87'), (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 5-0 Airdrieonians
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
46% (-0.933 -0.93) 24.14% (0.471 0.47) 29.85% (0.461 0.46)
Both teams to score 58.5% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28% (-1.909 -1.91)43.71% (1.907 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (-1.896 -1.9)66.11% (1.895 1.9)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-1.131 -1.13)19.17% (1.13 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (-1.903 -1.9)50.83% (1.901 1.9)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)27.63% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83% (-0.84 -0.84)63.16% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 46%
    Hamilton Academical 29.85%
    Draw 24.14%
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.414 0.41)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.429 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.437 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.85%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr

Martin (16'), Maguire (68'), O'Hara (79')
Martin (68')
Stanger (18'), Dowds (72')
Musonda (55')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ayr
1-0
Hamilton
Mullin (32')
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ayr
2-2
Hamilton
Akinyemi (3'), Murdoch (85')
Murdoch (66')
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
rhs 2.0
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