Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rylands win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Newton Aycliffe had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rylands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Newton Aycliffe win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rylands would win this match.