MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 14:15:37| >> :120:6984:6984:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Finland national football team

Rep. Ireland
vs.
Finland

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

We say: Republic of Ireland 1-0 Finland

There is a lot riding on the fixture for both nations as they bid to avoid relegation from League B. Neither side have looked particularly strong going forward, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards in Dublin. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to edge this one as they did in last month's reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland has a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it is 0-1 (7.74%).

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawFinland
53.82% (0.235 0.23) 25.65% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.53% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (0.51000000000001 0.51)57.24% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.405 0.41)78.09% (-0.407 -0.41)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.30800000000001 0.31)21.34% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (0.473 0.47)54.29% (-0.474 -0.47)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.04% (0.222 0.22)42.96% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (0.188 0.19)79.26% (-0.19 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 53.81%
    Finland 20.53%
    Draw 25.64%
Republic of IrelandDrawFinland
1-0 @ 14.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.53%

Who will win Thursday's Nations League clash between Rep. Ireland and Finland?

Republic of Ireland
Draw
Finland
Republic of Ireland
74.3%
Draw
14.7%
Finland
11.0%
109
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
Oct 14, 2020 5pm
Sep 6, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
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