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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Finland national football team

Rep. Ireland
1 - 0
Finland

Ferguson (45')
O'Dowda (4'), Knight (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Republic of Ireland 1-0 Finland

 There is a lot riding on the fixture for both nations as they bid to avoid relegation from League B. Neither side have looked particularly strong going forward, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards in Dublin. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to edge this one as they did in last month's reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawFinland
53.82% (0.235 0.23) 25.65% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.53% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (0.51000000000001 0.51)57.24% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.405 0.41)78.09% (-0.407 -0.41)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.30800000000001 0.31)21.34% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (0.473 0.47)54.29% (-0.474 -0.47)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.04% (0.222 0.22)42.96% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (0.188 0.19)79.26% (-0.19 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 53.81%
    Finland 20.53%
    Draw 25.64%
Republic of IrelandDrawFinland
1-0 @ 14.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.53%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Finland

Republic of Ireland
75.4%
Draw
13.4%
Finland
11.3%
142
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Finland
1-2
Rep. Ireland
Pohjanpalo (17')
Scales (57'), Brady (88')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 5pm
League B
Finland
1-0
Rep. Ireland
Jensen (67')
Jensen (42')

Connolly (81')
> Match Report
Sep 6, 2020 5pm
League B
Rep. Ireland
0-1
Finland

Molumby (66'), Arter (86')
Jensen (64')
O'Shaughnessy (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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