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Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
England national football team

Finland
1 - 3
England

Hoskonen (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grealish (18'), Alexander-Arnold (74'), Rice (84')
Reaction
Jack Grealish celebrates scoring for England on October 13, 2024
Finland vs. England player ratings: Jack Grealish leads the way as Harry Kane struggles
Sports Mole provides player ratings from England's 3-1 victory over Finland in League B Group 2 of the UEFA Nations League.
Oct 13, 19:30
Declan Rice celebrates scoring for England on October 13, 2024
England break national team winning record with Nations League victory over Finland
England set a new national team winning record with their 3-1 success over Finland in League B Group 2 of the UEFA Nations League.
Oct 13, 21:02
England interim manager Lee Carsley pictured on October 13, 2024
Lee Carsley drops huge England hint as Pep Guardiola, Thomas Tuchel given green light
England interim boss Lee Carsley drops another hint that he is not planning to take the reins on a full-time basis following Sunday's 3-1 win over Finland.
Oct 13, 21:22
England manager Lee Carsley pictured on October 10, 2024
England manager search: Lee Carsley sends mixed messages over permanent job
England interim boss Lee Carsley refuses to rule himself out of the running for the permanent job despite admitting the role should go to a coach who has won silverware.
Oct 13, 23:36
Jack Grealish celebrates scoring for England on October 13, 2024
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Man City expert Steven McInerney from Esteemed Kompany explains to Sports Mole why both the Citizens and England will become "more complete and whole" when Jack Grealish is performing at his best.
Oct 14, 17:25
 Roy Keane criticised Trent Alexander-Arnold's defending against Finland on October 15, 2024
Roy Keane criticism of Trent Alexander-Arnold "ludicrous" and "parroting old cliches"
Roy Keane's criticism of Trent Alexander-Arnold's defensive ability after England's 3-1 win over Finland is slammed as "ludicrous" and "parroting old cliches".
Oct 15, 20:51

The Match

Match Report

Trent Alexander-Arnold scores a wonderful free kick as England cruise to a 3-0 UEFA Nations League victory over Finland League B Group 2.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Finland and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Finland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: England 1-2 Greece
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
FinlandDrawEngland
28.37% (-0.361 -0.36) 27.51% (-0.14 -0.14) 44.12% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 47.08% (0.185 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (0.33499999999999 0.33)58.13% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.262 0.26)78.79% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.21% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (-0.107 -0.11)72.99% (0.104 0.1)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.411 0.41)26.19% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.549 0.55)61.28% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Finland 28.37%
    England 44.12%
    Draw 27.5%
FinlandDrawEngland
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.12%

How you voted: Finland vs England

Finland
15.2%
Draw
12.6%
England
72.2%
223
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
League B
England
2-0
Finland
Kane (57', 76')

Schuller (66')
Nov 14, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
England
3-0
Finland
Keane (21'), Berahino (37', 90')
Berahino (38')
Sep 9, 2013 5pm
rhs 2.0
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