Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Finland had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.