We said: Coventry City 1-1 Bristol City
There was nothing to separate Coventry or Bristol City in August's Championship contest at Ashton Gate, and Saturday's reunion looks primed for another closely-contested affair.
The Sky Blues have developed a resilient streak on home soil of late, while Bristol City have not travelled well over the past few weeks, and a low-scoring stalemate seems inevitable.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.