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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (7.28%).
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
54.45% ( -0.19) | 24.88% ( -0.23) | 20.67% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 47.13% ( 1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.66% ( 1.3) | 54.34% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( 1.07) | 75.72% ( -1.08) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0.43) | 19.92% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.7) | 52.06% ( -0.71) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% ( 1.19) | 41.14% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.32% ( 1.04) | 77.68% ( -1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.44% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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